Columbus Crew 1-0 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 Feb 2024

Columbus Crew
1-0 HT 1-0
Atlanta United
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.16
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.0
X/1
17%
4.28
X/2
8%
9.39
X/X
6%
6.08
2/1
7%
20.35
2/2
10%
6.35
2/X
8%
14.45
Value flag · 1/X at 14.0 — our 10% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.3pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Columbus Crew v Atlanta United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.69/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.53
+5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
18.4 Crosses 16.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atlanta United
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.73 xG 1.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
385 Passes 380
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.11.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 4-2 HT 3-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
08.11.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 4-2 HT 2-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
02.11.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-0 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
08.10.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-1 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
26.03.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 6-1 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
22.08.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-2 HT 0-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD

Columbus Crew 1-0 Atlanta United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
1-0
AWAY Atlanta United
1.85 xG 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
423 Passes 466
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew nicked a narrow win over Atlanta United 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 48% of the ball to Atlanta United's 52%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.85 to 0.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Columbus Crew's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.67 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United?

Columbus Crew 1-0 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 51%, draw 24%, Atlanta United 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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