Argentino Rosario 2-0 Mercedes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Primera C Apertura, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
22%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No Pick
54%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
38%
4-5
17%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
42%
+6.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
22%
Away Win
30%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentino Rosario The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mercedes The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / +73%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Argentino Rosario vs Mercedes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentino Rosario saw off Mercedes 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Argentino Rosario as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Argentino Rosario vs Mercedes?

Argentino Rosario 2-0 Mercedes in the Argentina - Primera C Apertura on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentino Rosario vs Mercedes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Argentino Rosario win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Argentino Rosario 48%, draw 30%, Mercedes 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Argentino Rosario), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Argentino Rosario) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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