Independiente 0-1 Racing Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
5.94
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
4.0
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
13%
14.55
X/1
16%
5.07
X/2
11%
5.39
X/X
11%
3.45
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
18%
4.35
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.2pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.17/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.15
-6% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.7 Crosses 17.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Racing Club
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.96 xG 1.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
217 Passes 346
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.10.2023 Racing Club Racing Club 0-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
16.04.2023 Independiente Independiente 1-1 HT 1-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
10.07.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
20.03.2022 Independiente Independiente 1-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
09.08.2021 Independiente Independiente 1-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
11.04.2021 Racing Club Racing Club 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente
0-1
AWAY Racing Club
0.60 xG 1.16
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
228 Passes 290
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Independiente vs Racing Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club nicked a narrow win over Independiente 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Racing Club found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Independiente had 46% of the ball to Racing Club's 54%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.60 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Independiente and 0.83 for Racing Club.

What was the final score of Independiente vs Racing Club?

Independiente 0-1 Racing Club in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente vs Racing Club?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Independiente 33%, draw 31%, Racing Club 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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