Excelsior Virton 2-0 KAA Gent II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1.Amatör League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
50%
-11.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
23%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Virton EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY KAA Gent II EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Virton
0W-0D-1L
AWAY KAA Gent II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 3
14.10.2023 KAA Gent II KAA Gent II 5-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Virton Excelsior Virton BEL1A
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Virton
2-0
AWAY KAA Gent II
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Excelsior Virton vs KAA Gent II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Virton beat KAA Gent II 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Excelsior Virton made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Excelsior Virton had 43% of the ball to KAA Gent II's 57%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of Excelsior Virton vs KAA Gent II?

Excelsior Virton 2-0 KAA Gent II in the Belgium - 1.Amatör League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Virton vs KAA Gent II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior Virton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Virton 38%, draw 25%, KAA Gent II 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior Virton), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Excelsior Virton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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