Zvijezda 09 Brgule 1-0 FK Sarajevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
50%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
50%
Away Win
55%
-5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.7pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zvijezda 09 Brgule EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 59%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.18
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -46%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zvijezda 09 Brgule
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Sarajevo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
30.09.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 2-0 HT 2-0 Zvijezda 09 Brgule Zvijezda 09 Brgule BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zvijezda 09 Brgule
1-0
AWAY FK Sarajevo
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zvijezda 09 Brgule vs FK Sarajevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zvijezda 09 Brgule squeezed past FK Sarajevo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FK Sarajevo at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zvijezda 09 Brgule had 42% of the ball to FK Sarajevo's 58%, shots finished 9-17.

What was the final score of Zvijezda 09 Brgule vs FK Sarajevo?

Zvijezda 09 Brgule 1-0 FK Sarajevo in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zvijezda 09 Brgule vs FK Sarajevo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Zvijezda 09 Brgule 24%, draw 26%, FK Sarajevo 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Sarajevo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
24 Feb 2024
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