24/02/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Oratorio vs Santana EC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No Pick
62%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
35%
Home Win
10%
21%
Draw
20%
44%
Away Win
70%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oratorio v Santana EC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Oratorio
The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY
Santana EC
The Market 75%
-6% /
-6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-34%
/
-64%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
40%
Ball Possession
60%
7
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
6
206 · 69%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
392 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Oratorio vs Santana EC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Oratorio
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Santana EC
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Oratorio vs Santana EC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Oratorio got the better of Santana EC 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Santana EC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.
What was the final score of Oratorio vs Santana EC?
Oratorio 2-0 Santana EC in the Brazil - Amapaense on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oratorio vs Santana EC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Santana EC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Oratorio 35%, draw 21%, Santana EC 44%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santana EC) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Santana EC)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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