Jacuipense 1-2 Jacobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Baino 1, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.8pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.3pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jacuipense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Jacobina EU Bookmakers 42%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jacuipense
1-2
AWAY Jacobina
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Jacuipense vs Jacobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jacobina squeezed past Jacuipense 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Jacobina made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jacuipense had 57% of the ball to Jacobina's 43%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Jacuipense vs Jacobina?

Jacuipense 1-2 Jacobina in the Brazil - Baino 1 on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jacuipense vs Jacobina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jacobina win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Jacuipense 32%, draw 34%, Jacobina 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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