Caxias 2-0 Avenida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Gaucho 1, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
43%
4-5
19%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
21%
+17.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
32%
Away Win
53%
-21.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caxias The Market 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Avenida The Market 57%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -65% / -65%
1.29/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.00
+11% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -43%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caxias
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Avenida
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.03.2023 Avenida Avenida 0-1 HT 0-1 Caxias Caxias BRG1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caxias
2-0
AWAY Avenida
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Caxias vs Avenida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caxias saw off Avenida 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Caxias found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Caxias had 47% of the ball to Avenida's 53%, shots finished 16-15.

What was the final score of Caxias vs Avenida?

Caxias 2-0 Avenida in the Brazil - Gaucho 1 on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caxias vs Avenida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caxias win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Caxias 39%, draw 29%, Avenida 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caxias), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caxias) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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