Sao Bento 2-1 Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A2, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.65
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
40%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
44%
4-5
23%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
15%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
18%
+11.4pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.9pp
40%
Away Win
58%
-17.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Bento The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Oeste The Market 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 484 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Bento
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Oeste
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
0.89 xG 0.98
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
293 Passes 343
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.09.2019 Oeste Oeste 2-1 HT 2-1 Sao Bento Sao Bento BR2
25.05.2019 Sao Bento Sao Bento 1-0 HT 0-0 Oeste Oeste BR2
18.02.2019 Oeste Oeste 1-0 HT 0-0 Sao Bento Sao Bento BREPAU
29.08.2018 Oeste Oeste 0-1 HT 0-0 Sao Bento Sao Bento BR2
12.05.2018 Sao Bento Sao Bento 1-0 HT 0-0 Oeste Oeste BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Bento
2-1
AWAY Oeste
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Sao Bento vs Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Bento nicked a narrow win over Oeste 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sao Bento found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sao Bento had 63% of the ball to Oeste's 37%, shots finished 23-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sao Bento had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Sao Bento and 0.60 for Oeste.

What was the final score of Sao Bento vs Oeste?

Sao Bento 2-1 Oeste in the Brazil - Paulista A2 on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Bento vs Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oeste win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sao Bento 30%, draw 30%, Oeste 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oeste), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oeste) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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