Gremio Prudente 3-1 Itapirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A3, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.71
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
40%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.9pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.1pp
40%
Away Win
58%
-18.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gremio Prudente The Market 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Itapirense The Market 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
228 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Gremio Prudente vs Itapirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gremio Prudente saw off Itapirense 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Gremio Prudente found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Gremio Prudente vs Itapirense?

Gremio Prudente 3-1 Itapirense in the Brazil - Paulista A3 on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gremio Prudente vs Itapirense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Itapirense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gremio Prudente 29%, draw 31%, Itapirense 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Itapirense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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