Sao Caetano vs Matonense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sao Caetano v Matonense — Team-Based Signals
Sao Caetano 4-1 Matonense — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Caetano cruised past Matonense 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sao Caetano as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sao Caetano had 58% of the ball to Matonense's 42%, shots finished 28-14.
What was the final score of Sao Caetano vs Matonense?
Sao Caetano 4-1 Matonense in the Brazil - Paulista A3 on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sao Caetano vs Matonense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Caetano win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sao Caetano 46%, draw 30%, Matonense 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Caetano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.