Moso Sugar 1-2 Le Messager Ngozi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Burundi - League A, 24 Feb 2024

Moso Sugar
1-2
Le Messager Ngozi
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Burundi - League A – 2023/2024

Moso Sugar vs Le Messager Ngozi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moso Sugar v Le Messager Ngozi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moso Sugar EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Messager Ngozi EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -24%
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 516 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Moso Sugar vs Le Messager Ngozi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Messager Ngozi nicked a narrow win over Moso Sugar 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Le Messager Ngozi as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Moso Sugar vs Le Messager Ngozi?

Moso Sugar 1-2 Le Messager Ngozi in the Burundi - League A on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moso Sugar vs Le Messager Ngozi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Le Messager Ngozi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Moso Sugar 24%, draw 28%, Le Messager Ngozi 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Messager Ngozi), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Le Messager Ngozi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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