Aalborg 2-2 SonderjyskE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.35
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.53
6+ Goals
11%
13.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.53 — our 26% vs market 23.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.81
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
18%
4.64
X/2
9%
7.15
X/X
12%
4.59
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
17%
5.19
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
Crosses 15.5
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalborg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY SonderjyskE
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.59 xG 1.56
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
360 Passes 306
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
22.11.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-3 HT 1-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
03.10.2021 Aalborg Aalborg 4-0 HT 2-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
24.05.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-4 HT 0-2 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
08.03.2021 Aalborg Aalborg 1-0 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
27.09.2020 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 3-1 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
2-2
AWAY SonderjyskE
1.37 xG 1.89
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
188 Passes 356
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aalborg vs SonderjyskE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalborg and SonderjyskE shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Aalborg had 38% of the ball to SonderjyskE's 62%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 1.37 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalborg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Aalborg and 0.83 for SonderjyskE.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs SonderjyskE?

Aalborg 2-2 SonderjyskE in the Denmark 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs SonderjyskE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 39%, draw 27%, SonderjyskE 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aalborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalborg) ✓ BTTS Yes
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