SalPa Salo 1-1 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.59
6+ Goals
13%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 29% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+7.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-9.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
277 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY TPS Turku
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.08.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 3-0 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
27.05.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-1 HT 0-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
1-1
AWAY TPS Turku
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SalPa Salo and TPS Turku shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 42% of the ball to TPS Turku's 58%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for SalPa Salo and 1.00 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs TPS Turku?

SalPa Salo 1-1 TPS Turku in the Finland - Ykköscup on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a SalPa Salo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 38%, draw 29%, TPS Turku 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SalPa Salo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SalPa Salo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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