Lorient 0-1 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.96
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.4
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
11%
5.68
X/2
8%
5.01
X/X
13%
3.75
2/1
13%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.69
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorient EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.14/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.16
-9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.8 Crosses 21.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lorient
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Nantes
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.60 xG 1.16
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
411 Passes 394
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Nantes Nantes 5-3 HT 1-1 Lorient Lorient FR1
02.08.2023 Lorient Lorient 3-1 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes HAZ
12.02.2023 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
11.09.2022 Lorient Lorient 3-2 HT 1-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
23.07.2022 Nantes Nantes 2-0 HT 1-0 Lorient Lorient HAZ
23.01.2022 Nantes Nantes 4-2 HT 1-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lorient
0-1
AWAY Nantes
0.54 xG 0.45
64% Ball Possession 36%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
552 Passes 276
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lorient vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantes edged past Lorient 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Nantes made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lorient had 64% of the ball to Nantes's 36%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.54 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lorient and 2.50 for Nantes.

What was the final score of Lorient vs Nantes?

Lorient 0-1 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorient vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lorient 37%, draw 30%, Nantes 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lorient), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lorient) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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