24/02/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Bourges Foot 18 vs Les Herbiers Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No Pick
61%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
45%
4-5
15%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
28%
Home Win
33%
35%
Draw
30%
37%
Away Win
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bourges Foot 18 v Les Herbiers — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bourges Foot 18
The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Les Herbiers
The Market 40%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
332 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
323 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Bourges Foot 18 vs Les Herbiers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bourges Foot 18 beat Les Herbiers 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 35% / 37% — and on the day Bourges Foot 18 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
What was the final score of Bourges Foot 18 vs Les Herbiers?
Bourges Foot 18 2-0 Les Herbiers in the France - National League 2 on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bourges Foot 18 vs Les Herbiers?
Before kick-off our model rated an Les Herbiers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bourges Foot 18 28%, draw 35%, Les Herbiers 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Les Herbiers) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Les Herbiers)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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FR4
More France - National League 2
24 Feb 2024