Richards Bay 3-2 Polokwane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
25%
2.83
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.41
Over 2.5
50%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.27
No
46%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
1.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
6.68
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.7pp
25%
Draw
32%
-7.5pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
67%
-17.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
33%
+17.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
40%
+13.9pp
46%
BTTS No
60%
-13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 39%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+93% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richards Bay
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Polokwane City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 0.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
204 Passes 292
65% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-1 HT 0-1 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richards Bay
3-2
AWAY Polokwane City
1.05 xG 1.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
308 Passes 232
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Richards Bay vs Polokwane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richards Bay squeezed past Polokwane City 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Richards Bay found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Richards Bay had 54% of the ball to Polokwane City's 46%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.05 to 1.71 — on chances, Polokwane City could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Richards Bay vs Polokwane City?

Richards Bay 3-2 Polokwane City in the South Afrika - Cup on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richards Bay vs Polokwane City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Richards Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Richards Bay 40%, draw 25%, Polokwane City 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Richards Bay), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Richards Bay) ✓ BTTS Yes
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