Excelsior Maassluis 1-1 SV Spakenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.71
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
57%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.61
No
39%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
26%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
18%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.6pp
57%
Away Win
62%
-5.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.4pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 67%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+2% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -3%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
278 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 476 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1-1
AWAY SV Spakenburg
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs SV Spakenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Maassluis and SV Spakenburg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. SV Spakenburg carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 35% of the ball to SV Spakenburg's 65%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs SV Spakenburg?

Excelsior Maassluis 1-1 SV Spakenburg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs SV Spakenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 17%, draw 26%, SV Spakenburg 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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