Mito HollyHock 1-0 Iwaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 32% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.6pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Iwaki EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.46/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.41
+21% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Iwaki
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.07.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 4-3 HT 1-2 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
26.02.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-2 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
1-0
AWAY Iwaki
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Iwaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock squeezed past Iwaki 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Mito HollyHock found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 53% of the ball to Iwaki's 47%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Iwaki led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Mito HollyHock and 3.00 for Iwaki.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Iwaki?

Mito HollyHock 1-0 Iwaki in the Japan - J2 League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Iwaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 37%, draw 26%, Iwaki 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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