Loughgall FC 3-3 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.82
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.78
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
13%
5.82
X/2
18%
5.46
X/X
9%
4.96
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
16%
3.46
2/X EV+ ✓
11%
12.8
Value flag · 2/X at 12.8 — our 11% vs market 4.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 42%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.98/2.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.53
+52% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 5
02.12.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-2 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
07.10.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 3-4 HT 1-3 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Loughgall FC
3-3
AWAY Carrick Rangers
65% Ball Possession 35%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loughgall FC and Carrick Rangers shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Carrick Rangers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Loughgall FC had 65% of the ball to Carrick Rangers's 35%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Carrick Rangers led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Loughgall FC and 3.00 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Loughgall FC 3-3 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 31%, draw 27%, Carrick Rangers 42%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5
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