Belasica 1-1 Besa Doberdoll — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Makedonya - 2nd Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No Pick
59%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
42%
4-5
26%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
28%
+5.7pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.8pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belasica The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Besa Doberdoll The Market 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Belasica vs Besa Doberdoll
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belasica and Besa Doberdoll couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Besa Doberdoll at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Belasica vs Besa Doberdoll?

Belasica 1-1 Besa Doberdoll in the North Makedonya - 2nd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belasica vs Besa Doberdoll?

Before kick-off our model rated an Besa Doberdoll win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Belasica 34%, draw 20%, Besa Doberdoll 46%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Besa Doberdoll) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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