Mosta 0-2 Birkirkara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.69
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
24%
-2.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosta EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 54%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.44/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.87
+68% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
220 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mosta
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Birkirkara
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-2 HT 0-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
26.04.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 4-3 HT 1-0 Mosta Mosta MLTAK
11.03.2023 Mosta Mosta 1-1 HT 1-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
29.10.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-2 HT 1-2 Mosta Mosta MLTP
12.12.2021 Birkirkara Birkirkara 2-2 HT 0-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mosta
0-2
AWAY Birkirkara
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mosta vs Birkirkara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara beat Mosta 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Birkirkara as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mosta had 47% of the ball to Birkirkara's 53%, shots finished 6-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mosta had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mosta and 1.60 for Birkirkara.

What was the final score of Mosta vs Birkirkara?

Mosta 0-2 Birkirkara in the Malta - Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosta vs Birkirkara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mosta 21%, draw 31%, Birkirkara 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birkirkara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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