24/02/2024
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-2
FC Grimma vs Bischofswerdaer Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
19%
Draw
25%
37%
Away Win
23%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Grimma v Bischofswerdaer — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
FC Grimma
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bischofswerdaer
EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+68% /
+68%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
+12%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
16
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
7
380 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
282 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
FC Grimma vs Bischofswerdaer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bischofswerdaer nicked a narrow win over FC Grimma 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was FC Grimma at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.
What was the final score of FC Grimma vs Bischofswerdaer?
FC Grimma 1-2 Bischofswerdaer in the Germany - Oberliga on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Grimma vs Bischofswerdaer?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Grimma win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Grimma 44%, draw 19%, Bischofswerdaer 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Grimma) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (FC Grimma)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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OBER
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24 Feb 2024