Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 General Caballero JLM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY General Caballero JLM EU Bookmakers 25%
+15% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.52/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.45
-13% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
249 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
1W-1D-1L
AWAY General Caballero JLM
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 HT 0-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
18.04.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 3-2 HT 2-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
06.02.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 HT 1-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
1-1
AWAY General Caballero JLM
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs General Caballero JLM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno and General Caballero JLM couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sportivo Luqueno at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 40% of the ball to General Caballero JLM's 60%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.33 for General Caballero JLM.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs General Caballero JLM?

Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 General Caballero JLM in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs General Caballero JLM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Luqueno win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 50%, draw 26%, General Caballero JLM 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →