UTC Cajamarca 0-0 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+6.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 53%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.94/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.94
+21% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.9 Crosses 18.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTC Cajamarca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Universitario
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.80 xG 1.04
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
234 Passes 336
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2023 Universitario Universitario 3-0 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
28.05.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
28.10.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-1 HT 0-1 Universitario Universitario PER
04.07.2022 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
25.07.2021 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-1 HT 0-1 Universitario Universitario PER
10.05.2021 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
0-0
AWAY Universitario
0.25 xG 0.71
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
178 Passes 402
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
5 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTC Cajamarca and Universitario fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Universitario at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 34% of the ball to Universitario's 66%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.25 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 1.17 for Universitario.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario?

UTC Cajamarca 0-0 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 29%, draw 29%, Universitario 42%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Universitario) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitario) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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