Lusitania Lourosa U19 1-1 Paços De Ferreira U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Youth U19, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.67
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
67%
Over
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
43%
4-5
16%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
34%
+11.0pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.9pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania Lourosa U19 The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Paços De Ferreira U19 The Market 40%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-35% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -50%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitania Lourosa U19
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Paços De Ferreira U19
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 3
11.11.2023 Lusitania Lourosa U19 0-0 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira U19 Paços De Ferreira U19 POR19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania Lourosa U19
1-1
AWAY Paços De Ferreira U19
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Lusitania Lourosa U19 vs Paços De Ferreira U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania Lourosa U19 and Paços De Ferreira U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lusitania Lourosa U19 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Lusitania Lourosa U19 had 39% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira U19's 61%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Lusitania Lourosa U19 vs Paços De Ferreira U19?

Lusitania Lourosa U19 1-1 Paços De Ferreira U19 in the Portugal - Youth U19 on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania Lourosa U19 vs Paços De Ferreira U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania Lourosa U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lusitania Lourosa U19 45%, draw 25%, Paços De Ferreira U19 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lusitania Lourosa U19), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lusitania Lourosa U19) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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