CSMS Iaşi 3-1 Rapid Bucarest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
41%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.91
6+ Goals
10%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 30% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.3pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
41%
Away Win
50%
-9.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Bucarest EU Bookmakers 55%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.94/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.79
-10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSMS Iaşi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2023 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 3-2 HT 2-2 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
26.09.2019 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 0-1 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROK
04.05.2015 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
04.11.2014 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 0-1 HT 0-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
23.02.2013 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
06.08.2012 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-0 HT 1-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSMS Iaşi
3-1
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
POST-MATCH CSMS Iaşi vs Rapid Bucarest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSMS Iaşi got the better of Rapid Bucarest 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rapid Bucarest at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSMS Iaşi had 51% of the ball to Rapid Bucarest's 49%, shots finished 14-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Bucarest led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CSMS Iaşi and 0.83 for Rapid Bucarest.

What was the final score of CSMS Iaşi vs Rapid Bucarest?

CSMS Iaşi 3-1 Rapid Bucarest in the Romania - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSMS Iaşi vs Rapid Bucarest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Bucarest win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CSMS Iaşi 27%, draw 32%, Rapid Bucarest 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Bucarest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ROM More Romania - 1st Division
24 Feb 2024
15:00 UTA Arad vs Petrolul 52 Analysis →
18:00 SSC Farul vs Otelul Galati Analysis →