Pennarossa 0-3 Murata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — San Marino - Şampiyona, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.94
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
48%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
31%
+9.9pp
24%
Draw
31%
-6.4pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pennarossa The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Murata The Market 43%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Pennarossa vs Murata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Murata ran out comfortable winners over Pennarossa 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Pennarossa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Pennarossa vs Murata?

Pennarossa 0-3 Murata in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pennarossa vs Murata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pennarossa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pennarossa 41%, draw 24%, Murata 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Pennarossa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pennarossa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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