Spartak Trnava 2-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 24 Feb 2024

Spartak Trnava
2-0 HT 2-0
Dukla Banska Bystrica
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Slovakia Super League – 2023/2024

Spartak Trnava vs Dukla Banska Bystrica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 28% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-14.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.1pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartak Trnava v Dukla Banska Bystrica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Banska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 22%
-18% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.46/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.68
-40% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / -36%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
372 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 67%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
26.1 Crosses 13.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Spartak Trnava vs Dukla Banska Bystrica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dukla Banska Bystrica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.71 xG 1.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
328 Passes 281
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
06.05.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 0-1 HT 0-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
08.04.2023 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
08.10.2022 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 0-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
24.07.2022 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-2 HT 0-1 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
23.05.2015 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 3-1 HT 2-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK

Spartak Trnava 2-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
2-0
AWAY Dukla Banska Bystrica
1.37 xG 1.48
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
286 Passes 397
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs Dukla Banska Bystrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava beat Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spartak Trnava as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Spartak Trnava had 43% of the ball to Dukla Banska Bystrica's 57%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.37 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Spartak Trnava and 1.17 for Dukla Banska Bystrica.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs Dukla Banska Bystrica?

Spartak Trnava 2-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica in the Slovakia Super League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs Dukla Banska Bystrica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 42%, draw 29%, Dukla Banska Bystrica 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Trnava), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✓ Under 2.5
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