24/02/2024
·
16:05
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Arar vs Wajj Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
39%
4-5
22%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
16%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
44%
Home Win
44%
26%
Draw
27%
29%
Away Win
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arar v Wajj — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Arar
The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY
Wajj
The Market 32%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-19% /
-19%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-11%
/
-26%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
339 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
291 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Arar vs Wajj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Arar edged past Wajj 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Arar as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
What was the final score of Arar vs Wajj?
Arar 1-0 Wajj in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arar vs Wajj?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arar 44%, draw 26%, Wajj 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Arar)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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24 Feb 2024