Bucaspor 1928 1-0 Ankara Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+9.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ankara Demirspor EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.25/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.42
-17% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucaspor 1928
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Ankara Demirspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
04.02.2023 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
14.09.2022 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 1-0 HT 0-0 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor T2L-K
19.02.2022 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
10.10.2021 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 2-1 HT 0-0 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucaspor 1928
1-0
AWAY Ankara Demirspor
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bucaspor 1928 vs Ankara Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucaspor 1928 nicked a narrow win over Ankara Demirspor 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bucaspor 1928 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Bucaspor 1928 had 47% of the ball to Ankara Demirspor's 53%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bucaspor 1928 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bucaspor 1928 and 0.80 for Ankara Demirspor.

What was the final score of Bucaspor 1928 vs Ankara Demirspor?

Bucaspor 1928 1-0 Ankara Demirspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucaspor 1928 vs Ankara Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bucaspor 1928 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bucaspor 1928 47%, draw 25%, Ankara Demirspor 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bucaspor 1928), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bucaspor 1928) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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