EGS Gafsa 1-0 CA Bizertin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.38
Over 2.5
29%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.4
No
65%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
1.91
2-3 Goals
35%
1.88
4-5 Goals
13%
7.19
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.7pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.2pp
71%
Under 2.5
69%
+1.9pp
29%
Over 2.5
31%
-1.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
38%
-2.1pp
65%
BTTS No
62%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Bizertin EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH EGS Gafsa vs CA Bizertin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EGS Gafsa edged past CA Bizertin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had EGS Gafsa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of EGS Gafsa vs CA Bizertin?

EGS Gafsa 1-0 CA Bizertin in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EGS Gafsa vs CA Bizertin?

Before kick-off our model rated a EGS Gafsa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split EGS Gafsa 44%, draw 33%, CA Bizertin 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EGS Gafsa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (EGS Gafsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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