Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
1.16/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.84
-2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
20.03.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
11.11.2019 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
0-1
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo edged past Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Racing Club Montevideo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 43% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 57%, shots finished 6-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Racing Club Montevideo led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.67 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 35%, draw 28%, Racing Club Montevideo 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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