UCV 1-1 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 24 Feb 2024

UCV
1-1 HT 0-0
Monagas
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
25%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
31%
-5.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -10%
2.05/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.51
+23% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
14.2 Crosses 19.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Monagas
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.35 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
217 Passes 328
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2023 Monagas Monagas 1-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
12.03.2023 UCV UCV 0-2 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
29.07.2022 UCV UCV 0-2 HT 0-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
24.04.2022 Monagas Monagas 1-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
01.08.2021 UCV UCV 3-0 HT 2-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
14.06.2021 Monagas Monagas 4-0 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
1-1
AWAY Monagas
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH UCV vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV and Monagas shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was UCV at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, UCV had 56% of the ball to Monagas's 44%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monagas led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for UCV and 1.67 for Monagas.

What was the final score of UCV vs Monagas?

UCV 1-1 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UCV 45%, draw 30%, Monagas 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UCV), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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