Lamia 1-3 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 24 Feb 2024

Lamia
1-3 HT 0-2
AEK Atina
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Lamia vs AEK Atina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
6.35
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
54%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
13.3
1/2
8%
23.15
1/X
4%
20.35
X/1
9%
16.7
X/2
11%
3.54
X/X
10%
6.75
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
35%
1.61
2/X
8%
19.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
13%
+11.2pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.7pp
54%
Away Win
68%
-13.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lamia v AEK Atina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamia EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 72%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
0.73/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.75
-21% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -28%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 82%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.6
13.5 Crosses 21.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Lamia vs AEK Atina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamia
0W-0D-6L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.52 xG 1.72
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
194 Passes 376
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
21.12.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
20.08.2022 Lamia Lamia 0-3 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
05.01.2022 Lamia Lamia 0-2 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
22.09.2021 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
11.01.2021 Lamia Lamia 0-1 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN

Lamia 1-3 AEK Atina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamia
1-3
AWAY AEK Atina
0.38 xG 1.54
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
197 Passes 465
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lamia vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina beat Lamia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lamia had 35% of the ball to AEK Atina's 65%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.38 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Lamia and 2.17 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Lamia vs AEK Atina?

Lamia 1-3 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamia vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lamia 24%, draw 22%, AEK Atina 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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