Milan U20 2-1 Atalanta U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan U20 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta U20 EU Bookmakers 28%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.60/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/0.79
-67% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +116%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan U20
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Atalanta U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2025 Atalanta U20 Atalanta U20 1-1 HT 1-0 Milan U20 Milan U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan U20
2-1
AWAY Atalanta U20
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Milan U20 vs Atalanta U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan U20 squeezed past Atalanta U20 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Milan U20 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Milan U20 had 37% of the ball to Atalanta U20's 63%, shots finished 8-20.

What was the final score of Milan U20 vs Atalanta U20?

Milan U20 2-1 Atalanta U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan U20 vs Atalanta U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Milan U20 45%, draw 28%, Atalanta U20 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan U20) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milan U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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