Atalanta II 1-1 AlbinoLeffe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.97
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 30% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 40%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
0.70/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.99
-40% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta II
1W-2D-0L
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2024 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 2-2 HT 1-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
13.02.2024 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-1 HT 0-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
07.10.2023 Atalanta II Atalanta II 1-1 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
1-1
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs AlbinoLeffe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II and AlbinoLeffe shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Atalanta II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atalanta II had 47% of the ball to AlbinoLeffe's 53%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atalanta II had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atalanta II and 1.00 for AlbinoLeffe.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs AlbinoLeffe?

Atalanta II 1-1 AlbinoLeffe in the Italy - Serie C on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs AlbinoLeffe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 41%, draw 25%, AlbinoLeffe 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atalanta II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
24 Feb 2025
22:30 Rimini vs Arezzo Analysis →
22:30 ACR Messina vs Trapani 1905 Analysis →