Melbourne Victory II 3-3 South Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.09
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
53%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
17%
+10.4pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
53%
Away Win
63%
-10.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Victory II EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY South Melbourne EU Bookmakers 67%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +80%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 22.4
Yellow Cards 1.9
POST-MATCH Melbourne Victory II vs South Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory II and South Melbourne shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was South Melbourne at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Melbourne Victory II vs South Melbourne?

Melbourne Victory II 3-3 South Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory II vs South Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an South Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory II 27%, draw 20%, South Melbourne 53%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (South Melbourne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (South Melbourne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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