Septemvri Sofia 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.43
+95% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +137%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Septemvri Sofia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
5 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
31.08.2024 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 2-0 HT 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Septemvri Sofia
1-0
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Krumovgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Septemvri Sofia squeezed past Levski Krumovgrad 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Septemvri Sofia as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 51% of the ball to Levski Krumovgrad's 49%, shots finished 4-9.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Septemvri Sofia 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Septemvri Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 41%, draw 27%, Levski Krumovgrad 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Septemvri Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Septemvri Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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