Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-2 Sandecja Nowy Sacz — Result, Stats & Model Review (Poland - 2nd Division, 24 Feb 2026)

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

1-2 HT 1-1

Sandecja Nowy Sacz

📅24/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗

Poland - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

49%

2.0

Draw

26%

3.45

Away

25%

3.15

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47%

1.91

Over 2.5

53%

1.8

Both Teams to Score

Yes

56%

1.7

44%

2.03

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

23%

3.3

2-3 Goals

41%

1.74

4-5 Goals

23%

3.22

6+ Goals

13%

11.85

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

20%

1/2

1/X

X/1

20%

X/2

10%

X/X

2/1

2/2

2/X

13%

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

49%

Home Win

46%

+3.3pp

26%

Draw

26%

+0.6pp

24%

Away Win

28%

-3.8pp

47%

Under 2.5

48%

-1.9pp

53%

Over 2.5

52%

+1.9pp

56%

BTTS Yes

55%

+1.5pp

44%

BTTS No

45%

-1.5pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec v Sandecja Nowy Sacz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 50%

Head to Head

AWAY Sandecja Nowy Sacz EU Bookmakers 32%

-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -9%

1.39/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.52

-7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -7%

54% Ball Possession 46%

15 Total Shots 10

6 Shots on Target 4

6 Corners 4

314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%

– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –

– Crosses –

2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec

0W-4D-2L

AWAY Sandecja Nowy Sacz

1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83

50% Ball Possession 50%

10 Total Shots 10

4 Shots on Target 5

5 Corners 4

2 Yellow Cards 3

The Meetings

07.08.2024 Zaglebie Sosnowiec

0-1 HT 0-1

Sandecja Nowy Sacz POLK

03.06.2023 Zaglebie Sosnowiec

1-1 HT 0-1

Sandecja Nowy Sacz POL1

25.11.2022 Zaglebie Sosnowiec

1-1 HT 0-1

Sandecja Nowy Sacz HAZ

04.11.2022 Sandecja Nowy Sacz

4-1 HT 1-1

Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1

09.05.2022 Zaglebie Sosnowiec

3-3 HT 3-1

Sandecja Nowy Sacz POL1

31.10.2021 Sandecja Nowy Sacz

1-1 HT 0-0

Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-2 Sandecja Nowy Sacz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec

1-2

AWAY Sandecja Nowy Sacz

51% Ball Possession 49%

14 Total Shots 14

3 Shots on Target 7

4 Corners 5

1 Yellow Cards 3

POST-MATCH Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandecja Nowy Sacz nicked a narrow win over Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zaglebie Sosnowiec at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 51% of the ball to Sandecja Nowy Sacz's 49%, shots finished 14-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandecja Nowy Sacz led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zaglebie Sosnowiec and 1.83 for Sandecja Nowy Sacz.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-2 Sandecja Nowy Sacz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 24/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 49%, draw 26%, Sandecja Nowy Sacz 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →

Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →