Worthing 2-2 Bath City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.83
2-3 Goals
36%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.63
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.83 — our 28% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.8pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bath City EU Bookmakers 36%
-15% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.97/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.50
+28% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Bath City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Bath City Bath City 0-2 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
14.10.2023 Worthing Worthing 2-0 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City FAK
11.03.2023 Worthing Worthing 2-3 HT 1-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
29.12.2022 Bath City Bath City 2-2 HT 0-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
2-2
AWAY Bath City
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Bath City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing and Bath City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Worthing at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Worthing had 63% of the ball to Bath City's 37%, shots finished 21-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Worthing had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Worthing and 1.25 for Bath City.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Bath City?

Worthing 2-2 Bath City in the England - Conference on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Bath City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Worthing 41%, draw 25%, Bath City 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Worthing) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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