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Aston Villa (K) vs Arsenal (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aston Villa (K) v Arsenal (K) — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa (K) vs Arsenal (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
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Aston Villa (K) 1-3 Arsenal (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal (K) got the better of Aston Villa (K) 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Aston Villa (K) had 34% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 66%, shots finished 1-37, expected goals 0.17 to 4.24.
What was the final score of Aston Villa (K) vs Arsenal (K)?
Aston Villa (K) 1-3 Arsenal (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aston Villa (K) vs Arsenal (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa (K) 19%, draw 24%, Arsenal (K) 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.