24/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Gozzano vs FC Vado Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
42%
4-5
13%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
41%
Home Win
44%
27%
Draw
28%
32%
Away Win
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gozzano v FC Vado — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gozzano
The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
FC Vado
The Market 32%
-11% /
-11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+1% /
+1%
0.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/0.00
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
298 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
237 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Gozzano vs FC Vado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gozzano and FC Vado shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Gozzano at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.
What was the final score of Gozzano vs FC Vado?
Gozzano 1-1 FC Vado in the Italy - Serie D on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gozzano vs FC Vado?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gozzano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gozzano 41%, draw 27%, FC Vado 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gozzano), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Gozzano)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
24 Mar 2024