Gravina 2-2 Barletta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
Over
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No
62%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
46%
4-5
13%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.9pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gravina The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Barletta The Market 34%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.25/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+13% / +122% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Gravina vs Barletta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gravina and Barletta shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Gravina at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Gravina vs Barletta?

Gravina 2-2 Barletta in the Italy - Serie D on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gravina vs Barletta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gravina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gravina 44%, draw 24%, Barletta 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gravina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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