Sparta Lichtenberg 3-0 Frohnauer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional Cup, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No Pick
58%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
35%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
14%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Lichtenberg The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Frohnauer The Market 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
245 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sparta Lichtenberg vs Frohnauer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Lichtenberg swept aside Frohnauer 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Sparta Lichtenberg found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Sparta Lichtenberg vs Frohnauer?

Sparta Lichtenberg 3-0 Frohnauer in the Germany - Regional Cup on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Lichtenberg vs Frohnauer?

Before kick-off our model rated an Frohnauer win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sparta Lichtenberg 32%, draw 30%, Frohnauer 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Frohnauer), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Frohnauer) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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