RB Leipzig (K) 3-0 Duisburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.6pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.6pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Duisburg (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / -65%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
3-0
AWAY Duisburg (K)
2.47 xG 1.76
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
333 Passes 286
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig (K) vs Duisburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig (K) ran out comfortable winners over Duisburg (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had RB Leipzig (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, RB Leipzig (K) had 53% of the ball to Duisburg (K)'s 47%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.47 to 1.76.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig (K) vs Duisburg (K)?

RB Leipzig (K) 3-0 Duisburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig (K) vs Duisburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig (K) 59%, draw 19%, Duisburg (K) 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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