Holstein Kiel II 1-3 VfB Oldenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Mar 2024

Holstein Kiel II
1-3 HT 1-1
VfB Oldenburg
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Holstein Kiel II vs VfB Oldenburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.5pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Holstein Kiel II v VfB Oldenburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.69/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.49
+5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

Holstein Kiel II vs VfB Oldenburg Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel II
1W-1D-2L
AWAY VfB Oldenburg
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 0-2 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
21.05.2022 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
09.04.2022 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-2 HT 1-2 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
17.11.2019 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel II vs VfB Oldenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VfB Oldenburg beat Holstein Kiel II 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; VfB Oldenburg found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, VfB Oldenburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Holstein Kiel II and 1.25 for VfB Oldenburg.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel II vs VfB Oldenburg?

Holstein Kiel II 1-3 VfB Oldenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel II vs VfB Oldenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstein Kiel II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel II 38%, draw 25%, VfB Oldenburg 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holstein Kiel II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holstein Kiel II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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