24/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Röthis vs Kufstein Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No Pick
54%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
38%
4-5
24%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
37%
Home Win
40%
20%
Draw
26%
44%
Away Win
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Röthis v Kufstein — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Röthis
The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kufstein
The Market 38%
-26% /
-26%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+7% /
+7%
0.70/1.32
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.50/1.51
-60%
/
+6%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+2%
/
+9%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
241 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
336 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.5
POST-MATCH
Röthis vs Kufstein
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Röthis got the better of Kufstein 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Kufstein at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
What was the final score of Röthis vs Kufstein?
Röthis 2-0 Kufstein in the Austria - Regional League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Röthis vs Kufstein?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kufstein win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Röthis 37%, draw 20%, Kufstein 44%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kufstein), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Kufstein)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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AVUBÖL
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24 Mar 2024