Masafi 1-2 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 24 Mar 2024

Masafi
1-2 HT 0-1
Arabi
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.1pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Masafi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.91/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.67
+29% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
369 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Masafi
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Arabi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.11.2023 Arabi 0-0 Masafi Masafi BAE2
24.02.2023 Masafi Masafi 2-1 HT 1-0 Arabi BAE2
16.10.2022 Arabi 1-2 HT 1-2 Masafi Masafi BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Masafi
1-2
AWAY Arabi
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Masafi vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi squeezed past Masafi 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Masafi at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Masafi had 59% of the ball to Arabi's 41%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Masafi had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Masafi and 0.67 for Arabi.

What was the final score of Masafi vs Arabi?

Masafi 1-2 Arabi in the UAE - 1st Division on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Masafi vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Masafi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Masafi 42%, draw 32%, Arabi 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Masafi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Masafi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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