24/03/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
2-1
Develigücü vs Kangal Termikspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
Over Pick
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
58%
Home Win
60%
17%
Draw
21%
25%
Away Win
19%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Develigücü v Kangal Termikspor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Develigücü
The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kangal Termikspor
The Market 22%
+5% /
+5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+113%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
7
227 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
299 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Develigücü vs Kangal Termikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Develigücü got the better of Kangal Termikspor 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Develigücü as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Develigücü vs Kangal Termikspor?
Develigücü 2-0 Kangal Termikspor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Develigücü vs Kangal Termikspor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Develigücü win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Develigücü 58%, draw 17%, Kangal Termikspor 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Develigücü) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Develigücü)
✗ Over 2.5
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BAL
More Turkey - Regional Amateur League
24 Mar 2024